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Following the Paris attacks, copper rates have actually drastically droppeded to their most affordable in more than 6 years. The autumn has actually also caused by the fortifying of the dollar as well as inadequate need potential customers in leading customer china.
Capitalists have stayed clear of risky assets, such as equities and also products and also rather turned to much safer possessions, such as the US buck.
BENCHMARK copper on the London Steel Exchange traded at $US4, 685 a tonne in early investing.
China’s need for copper is gradually weakening with the latest signal originating from the world’s top copper producer, Codelco based in Chile reducing its 2016 costs to China for polished steel by greater than a quarter to a three-year low of $US98 a tonne.
The affordable price have actually cued huge mining companies to downsize their production. Some experts have described the cuts as adequate.
A current study performed by Reuters reveal that the global copper market is expected to have a surplus of 349,000 tonnes this year and 177,000 tonnes in 2016.
Japan-urges-China-go-slow on Financial matters
After the Northern summer of market disorders China faces high capital outflows that has hit hundreds of billions of dollars. The Beijing with its large currency reserves is trying to calm down the impact of huge capital moving offshore. The effect of large capital offshoring is that it causes imbalance of payments. More money moving out than coming in hence some deficit to that effect. The problem of this is that since more money are going out than coming into the country, the rate of investment declines hence reduces the pace of development in theaffected country.
This turmoil is attributed to the falling of China’s stock markets and on the third consecutive week. The research indicates that the production level at the factories is at it weakest level thus the falling of the stock markets. Japan has urged china to take time in reforming the currency situation so that they dont hurry and make problens like the ones Japan once made.
Just days after a devastating attack, France is feeling its way back to normalcy. Hours after the incident, the streets of Paris emptied and businesses closed down amid fears of further aggravation. Tourist attraction places such as the Eiffel tower and the Louvre were cordoned off immediately in a bid to avoid an escalation of the attacks that left over 100 people dead. However, these two major areas have reopened, with the rest of Paris expected to follow suit in the coming days. The country has been working behind the scenes to reassure the international community that it is a safe place to visit. This is seen as a crucial step towards economic re-stimulation, especially considering the fact that tourism contributes up to 7% of France’s GDP.
Even before the Paris attacks, the French economy was struggling to grow, and the current security crisis is seen as a huge setback, with consumer confidence having suffered a major hit. However, the country has remained defiant and is slowly marshaling its economic forces to offset the current situation.
On Monday, the first trading day after the horrific attack in France, energy companies witnessed their shares going up on Wall Street, while investors and analysts talked about terrorist attacks in recent years not causing lasting effects on markets. All in all, energy companies in the S & P 500 recorded the highest profits (2.8%) of all other indices.
Business as usual then?
Prices of US crude rose 3% to $ 42.08 a barrel on concerns that violence in the Middle East could affect day-to-day business, leading to dislocation of the oil supply. However, an oversupply in the market, limited the profits of US crude.
Lockheed Martin (global aerospace) noted a rise of 2.8%. According to analysts, shares of defence companies are expected to gain from the ongoing battles against ISIS, as more countries like France decide to strike hard.
On the other hand, shares of Air France – KLM fell 5.7% amid massive sales of travel companies and the share of Aeroports de Paris fell 3.7%, while the Lufthansa and British Airways fell 2.3% and 2.8%, respectively.
The business field received a heavy blow in Europe especially in the tourism and travel sector following the Paris attack. Most investors remained reluctant in investing on Monday with a notion to the negative impact of the recent attack in Paris.
The travel sector experienced high loss where France and British Airways operators IAG went down by 3% band 5% correspondingly. Similarly, the French hotel group recorded a pathetic loss of 5%. The attack indicates a negative impact on the overal performance of the two sectors.
The stock market in London, as well as Frankfurt, also received heavy financial blow from the attack though it was less serious as compared to that of France who stood at 0.008%. For instance, prices of gold went up to 1% as financiers looked for the traditional shelters.
‘Sign of resilience.’
Business analysts forecasted that travel and recreational shares would incur huge losses on Monday following the Friday attack in Paris. The Eurotunnel group experienced a drop of 3%, Aeroports de Paris, on the other hand, experienced a 4% loss, additionally, LVMH and owners of Gucci dropped by 1%. The same trend was observed in Ryanair that went down by 3% coming to an end at 1.43% less than the previous recordings.
Since tourism represents 7.55 of the total GDP of France, Mr. Robbert T Lutts, who heads Cabot Wealth Management pointed out that the attack could affect the tourism sector to a great deal. He warned the investors to be cautious especially in the high-risk sectors in the market. Similarly, Hidenori Suezawa a financial analyst supported the idea by indicating that France was going to receive a blow in the tourism sector due to the attack. He deduces his argument from the case of the recent crash of the Russian plane.
Oil prices rise
A drop in the tourism sector is a starting point of a weakened euro. Financial analysts pointed out that the currency would go down against other currencies. The contrary happened on Monday where the currency balanced at 0.019 against the US dollar and a drop to 0,55 as compared to sterling pound. The French air strike on IS in Syria affected the supply of oil. For instance, Brent crude oil went down by 2%.
The story underlying the Paris attacks as per the financial analysis indicates that the impact will not last for long. Howard Archer, who is an economist, said that the people will go back to their duties after the attack to enable them to survive well.